02 Feb 2012
Gloomy Outlook In Services Sector

Services industry anticipates unfavourable business conditions for 1H 2012.

The services sector is expecting business to slow down in 1H 2012 compared with the previous quarter. A net weighted 25% of businesses foresee less favourable conditions.

According to the quarterly Business Expectations Survey (Services Sector) First Quarter 2012, a weighted 10% of firms anticipated improvement, a weighted 55% anticipated no change and 35% anticipated a poor outlook.

The survey, conducted by the Department of Statistics (DOS) showed that only recreation, community and personal services (+9%) were optimistic about prospects in the coming 6 months. The net weighted balance for all other services clusters indicated less optimism:

  • Real estate: -60%
  • Financial and Insurance: -52%
  • Retail trade: -29%
  • Accommodation: -29%
  • F&B services: -27%
  • Wholesale trade: -19%
  • Information and communication: -16%
  • Business services: -15%
  • Transport and storage: -14%

The outlook for Q1 2012 is also less optimistic. A weighted 63% expect receipts to remain the same, a weighted 11% expect higher turnover and a weighted 26% expect poorer conditions. This works out to a net weighted 15% that anticipate less operating receipts in Q1 2012.

As for employment, a net weighted 4% foresee a decline.

Sources

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